TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 2:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Penybont FC and FC Santa Coloma, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Penybont FC vs. FC Santa Coloma match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Penybont FC and FC Santa Coloma, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Penybont FC vs. FC Santa Coloma match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this matchup, comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where informed traders see value. Prediction markets tend to adjust faster to breaking news, team news, or injury updates, making them a useful cross-check against static sportsbook pricing.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where each scoreline outcome is represented as a tradeable share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to buy a share in any exact score reflects the current probability assigned by the market; as more traders back a particular result, its price rises and others fall. This continuous repricing ensures the odds stay aligned with real-time sentiment. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices cluster and how quickly they respond to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Penybont vs. Santa Coloma fixture concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is the exact scoreline at the end of regular time; any applicable extra time or penalty shootout rules follow standard football competition protocols. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match's conclusion.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that affect perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader sentiment as the match approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking tactical adjustments may also influence scoring expectations. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can cause sharp repricing across multiple scorelines. As kickoff nears, this market typically sees increased volatility and volume as casual and professional traders finalize positions.