TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Outcomes depend on whether specific point thresholds are exceeded by either team during the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold in the Penn St. vs Temple college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves on the final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours, it resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect others, and each evaluates solely against its own point threshold for the respective team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to take a position, and the odds adjust as more information becomes available and more traders participate. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market odds will likely move in the opposite direction, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than initial sportsbook offerings. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more contracts are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—shows how much conviction traders have in their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Penn St. vs Temple game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which team total outcome was correctly predicted by traders. It’s important to note that the official source will be used to ensure an accurate and unbiased resolution, providing a clear outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Penn St. or Temple would likely cause significant movement, as would updates on weather conditions expected during the game. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected starting lineup announcements could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could shift the market, and general public perception based on pre-game analysis and commentary will play a role. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.