TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Penguins vs. Golden Knights
kalshi
polymarket

Penguins vs. Golden Knights

Volume:
$1,375,329

O/U 6.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 12, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$511,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,539
N/A
N/A
$34,826
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,532
N/A
N/A
$22,137
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,134
N/A
N/A
$5,421
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,879
N/A
N/A
$1,711
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
$368
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Penguins vs. Golden Knights

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$739,374
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 8.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,695
N/A
N/A
$9,805
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,022
N/A
N/A
$1,021
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group covers the Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights NHL game scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (2.5 through 9.5), and a Golden Knights spread (-1.5). Resolution depends on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers 8 distinct over/under goal thresholds (2.5–9.5) while Polymarket offers only 4 (4.5–7.5). The overlapping thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) use identical resolution logic, but Kalshi's 2.5, 3.5, 8.5, and 9.5 markets have no Polymarket counterpart, creating potential liquidity and settlement fragmentation.Hero tip: For overlapping thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), both platforms resolve identically: YES/OVER if combined goals exceed the threshold. However, if you are trading Kalshi's 2.5, 3.5, 8.5, or 9.5 thresholds, verify you understand the specific platform's rules before committing capital. Use NHL.com final score as the authoritative source for both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Provides 8 over/under markets at thresholds 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5. Each resolves YES if combined goals are GREATER THAN the threshold. Quote: 'If over 5.5 total combined goals are scored...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Provides 4 over/under markets at thresholds 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, plus moneyline and spread. Each resolves OVER if combined goals are 6+ (for 5.5), 7+ (for 6.5), 8+ (for 7.5), 5+ (for 4.5). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Penguins and Golden Knights combine to score 6 or more goals in this game' (for O/U 5.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.