TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Penguins vs. Golden Knights
Volume:
$1,375,329
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights NHL game scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (2.5 through 9.5), and a Golden Knights spread (-1.5). Resolution depends on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers 8 distinct over/under goal thresholds (2.5–9.5) while Polymarket offers only 4 (4.5–7.5). The overlapping thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) use identical resolution logic, but Kalshi's 2.5, 3.5, 8.5, and 9.5 markets have no Polymarket counterpart, creating potential liquidity and settlement fragmentation.Hero Tip:
For overlapping thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), both platforms resolve identically: YES/OVER if combined goals exceed the threshold. However, if you are trading Kalshi's 2.5, 3.5, 8.5, or 9.5 thresholds, verify you understand the specific platform's rules before committing capital. Use NHL.com final score as the authoritative source for both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Provides 8 over/under markets at thresholds 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5. Each resolves YES if combined goals are GREATER THAN the threshold. Quote: 'If over 5.5 total combined goals are scored...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Provides 4 over/under markets at thresholds 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, plus moneyline and spread. Each resolves OVER if combined goals are 6+ (for 5.5), 7+ (for 6.5), 8+ (for 7.5), 5+ (for 4.5). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Penguins and Golden Knights combine to score 6 or more goals in this game' (for O/U 5.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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