TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional Conference League soccer match between Pen-y-Bont and FC Coloma scheduled for July 9, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Pen-y-Bont vs FC Coloma professional Conference League soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Pen-y-Bont win, FC Coloma win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, depending on whether traders here view the matchup differently than the broader betting public. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money disagrees with conventional oddsmaking.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the live probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the consensus of all active traders at that moment, updating in real time as new trades execute. Higher prices indicate stronger belief in one outcome, while lower prices suggest lower conviction. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official final score and result as confirmed by the relevant sports authorities. Until that point, prices will continue to fluctuate based on team news, betting patterns, and trader sentiment. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price moves in this market. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader conviction. Betting action from sharp bettors or large position changes by prominent traders may also signal new information. Close to kickoff, late-breaking developments or injury updates often cause final repricing. Monitor official team announcements and credible sports media for catalysts that could reshape the odds.