Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers

Divergence Detected

Critical Divergence Points:

• Polymarket: Outlier (complete specification): Polymarket defines 82 distinct markets across moneyline, spread, over/under, first-half variants, and player prop categories. Each market includes explicit thresholds (e.g., 'Trail Blazers win by 7 or more points'), tie-breaking rules ('If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to Pelicans'), contingency handling ('If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50'), and player inactivity clauses ('If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve No'). Resolution source is consistently 'the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com' or 'the score at halftime only' for first-half markets.
• Kalshi: Outlier (minimal specification): Kalshi defines a single binary market: 'If Portland wins the New Orleans at Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Orleans wins the New Orleans at Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This market lacks any resolution threshold, tie-breaking rule, postponement/cancellation clause, overtime inclusion statement, or reference to an official resolution source. The market appears logically incomplete (both outcomes resolve to Yes), creating ambiguity about whether a tie or no-game scenario is covered.