TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 8:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional women's soccer match between two teams competing in the Eredivisie league. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, that specific outcome is also identified.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the PEC Zwolle vs de Graafschap professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer match scheduled for September 20, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: PEC Zwolle win, de Graafschap win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s procedures. The resolution strictly follows the result as officially recorded by the league at the end of regular time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the actual outcome. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the respective teams. It’s common to see this market converge toward the true probability as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market constantly adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's accuracy, as more participants are actively trading. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the PEC Zwolle vs de Graafschap match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for PEC Zwolle, a win for de Graafschap, or a draw – actually occurred during the match. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final, verified result. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either PEC Zwolle or de Graafschap would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift expectations. Even weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are predicted, might impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any public statements from coaches or key players that reveal strategic intentions or confidence levels could influence trading activity and move the market.