TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Over 3.5 goals scored
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
Closed: Jul 25, 9:27 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks which team will score the first goal in the PEC Zwolle versus AFC Ajax match. The aggregated consensus probability shows AFC Ajax to score first with 98.0%. Data comes from Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket, resolving via official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. Watch the match on August 9, 2026, as this is the date the first goal will be scored or confirmed unscores.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms agree on the core resolution logic: first team to score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the outcome, with "Neither" resolving if no goals are scored in that timeframe.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallbackCore resolution logic:
- Resolve to the team that scores first within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Resolve to "Neither" if no goals are scored in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs from consideration
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, resolve to "Neither"
- Delayed Official Data: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, use a consensus of credible reporting
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between PEC Zwolle and AFC Ajax, scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "PEC Zwolle" if PEC Zwolle are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AFC Ajax" if AFC Ajax are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Kalshi
Similar to the Liverpool vs Sunderland event, this market set examines multiple thresholds—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals—for the total goals scored in the Leeds United vs Wrexham professional Club Friendlies soccer match on July 25, 2026. The resolution hinges on whether the combined goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) surpass each threshold. Kalshi explicitly states no official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Ajax and Vojvodina is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the UEFA Europa Conference League match scheduled for July 30, 2026, 18:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Frequently asked questions
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or shifting team form could all influence this market as the event nears. Additionally, any significant betting activity on Kalshi or Limitless — especially large trades — may cause price adjustments, reflecting evolving expectations about which side is more likely to score first or how the match might unfold.
