TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax
polymarket
kalshi

PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax

Volume:
$396,431

Draw (PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax)

 - Polymarket

Draw (PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 6:15 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,705
N/A
N/A
$22,852
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AFC Ajax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130,399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ajax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105,436
N/A
N/A
$78,191
Settled
No
polymarket

PEC Zwolle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Zwolle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,002
N/A
N/A
$16,249
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional Eredivisie soccer match between PEC Zwolle and AFC Ajax scheduled for March 1, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are tracked across platforms: a Zwolle win, an Ajax win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how a canceled match with no makeup game resolves. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES and win markets to NO in this scenario, while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, leaving resolution ambiguous.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket's draw market as a cancellation hedge (YES payout if game canceled). For Kalshi, assume markets may remain open or require manual settlement if the game is canceled. Diversify exposure across platforms carefully and confirm cancellation procedures with each platform's support team.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Zwolle Win (YES if Zwolle wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), Ajax Win (YES if Ajax wins, NO otherwise). Postponement keeps markets open. Cancellation with no makeup: Win markets resolve NO, Draw market resolves YES. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering the same outcomes (Zwolle Win, Draw, Ajax Win). No explicit postponement or cancellation language provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Resolution requires the specified outcome to occur; no guidance on canceled matches.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.