TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax
Volume:
$396,431
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Eredivisie soccer match between PEC Zwolle and AFC Ajax scheduled for March 1, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are tracked across platforms: a Zwolle win, an Ajax win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how a canceled match with no makeup game resolves. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES and win markets to NO in this scenario, while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, leaving resolution ambiguous.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket's draw market as a cancellation hedge (YES payout if game canceled). For Kalshi, assume markets may remain open or require manual settlement if the game is canceled. Diversify exposure across platforms carefully and confirm cancellation procedures with each platform's support team.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Zwolle Win (YES if Zwolle wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), Ajax Win (YES if Ajax wins, NO otherwise). Postponement keeps markets open. Cancellation with no makeup: Win markets resolve NO, Draw market resolves YES. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering the same outcomes (Zwolle Win, Draw, Ajax Win). No explicit postponement or cancellation language provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Resolution requires the specified outcome to occur; no guidance on canceled matches.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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