TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of more than 1.5 goals. It specifically tracks the performance of both teams within the first 45 minutes of play, ignoring any events that occur in the second half.
The event determines whether either Paysandu or Confianca will secure a decisive lead in the first half of their scheduled match by winning by more than 1.5 goals. If Paysandu achieves this margin, the market resolves positively for that outcome. Conversely, if Confianca accomplishies the same, the market resolves positively for their outcome. Only goals scored in the first half are considered, and if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled, the market will resolve to a fair price based on the circumstances.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match statistics for the first half spread, which are typically available shortly after the game ends. Traders can track confirmed sources such as sports news outlets and league databases to anticipate when the final verification will occur.
Injuries, weather conditions, or strategic changes announced by either team’s coaching staff could shift expectations and move this market. Key moments such as pre-match press conferences, recent form, or even shifts in betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any new information that impacts the perceived likelihood of the spread outcome can cause price adjustments on Kalshi as participants reassess their positions ahead of the game.