TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 5:39 AM EST
Kalshi
Passion Academy and LPH Gaming compete in Map 2 of their CS2 match on July 6, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins this individual map in the United21 2026 tournament.
Map 2 resolution is determined by the outcome of the second map played in the United21 2026: Passion Academy vs. LPH Gaming CS2 match scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins Map 2. Each team has a corresponding market outcome, and exactly one will resolve affirmatively based on the map result.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs in real time. This market may show sharper or more volatile odds than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue undervalues or overvalues a team's chances, though sportsbook lines typically tighten closer to match time as professional bettors arbitrage gaps.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate; a share trading at 65 cents implies a 65% chance of that outcome occurring. As new information surfaces—team roster changes, recent match results, or player performance data—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. Liquidity and spread width depend on overall trading interest in the event.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the Map 2 match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team wins the map according to the official match broadcast and league records. Until that point, traders can enter or exit positions as odds fluctuate. Resolution is final once confirmed, and all shares are settled according to the winning outcome.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Roster announcements or unexpected player absences would significantly impact market prices, as would recent scrim results or performance trends from either team. Map-specific meta shifts in the game's competitive landscape could favor one side's playstyle. Media coverage highlighting team form, coaching changes, or head-to-head records may also influence trader sentiment. Closer to match day, official lineups and any last-minute tactical adjustments typically trigger final repricing as traders incorporate fresh information.