TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the potential dominance of one side over the other. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various winning margins in a professional Serie A soccer match between Parma Calcio and Monza, scheduled for September 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded. Four distinct criteria define a 'Yes' resolution: Parma Calcio winning by more than 2.5 goals, Parma Calcio winning by more than 1.5 goals, Monza winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Monza winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion addresses a different threshold of goal-differential victory for either team. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price based on their expectations for the match outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of all participants, with volume of $25,594 indicating liquidity. Prices shift continuously as new bets are placed, aligning with evolving insights and in-game momentum swings.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the spread is met, and the result is finalized when official match records are published, closing all positions at that point.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, and tactical changes during the match could all shift this market. Pre-game news about team form or lineup announcements may also cause rapid price adjustments, as traders react to new probabilities for the spread outcome. Any surprise developments that affect the likely margin of victory can drive volatility.