TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Parma Calcio versus Cremonese soccer match. The outcome is determined by how many goals the winning team scores beyond the losing team during regular time, excluding extra time and penalties.
This event assesses whether Parma Calcio or Cremonese achieves a victory margin exceeding specific goal differences during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) in their Coppa Italia match on September 1, 2026. Two markets exist: one for Parma Calcio winning by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, and another for Cremonese winning by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. A market resolves to Yes if the winning team’s goal margin meets or exceeds the specified threshold. Extra time and penalty phases are excluded. As with all markets, Kalshi states no official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and detailed analysis. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on broader factors, this market allows for continuous adjustment, potentially offering sharper insights into trader confidence and shifts in expectation as the match nears.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through their buy and sell orders. The current implied probability reflects the expected point spread between the teams based on available information, recent performance, and betting trends. As new data emerges — like player injuries or weather conditions — the market adjusts dynamically. This pricing mechanism allows participants to express their views on the likely margin of victory in a liquid, transparent environment.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match result and the spread between the two teams’ scores at the end of regulation time.
Several key signals could shift this market before Sep 1, 2026. Notable player injuries, changes to the coaching staff, or unexpected weather conditions might alter perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths. Additionally, early betting trends and media narratives covering team performance could influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, any public polling or expert analysis released will also play a role in shaping market expectations and driving volume on Kalshi.