This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Parma Calcio 1913 and US Cremonese scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets span multiple platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket) with overlapping coverage of total goals, point spreads, and both-teams-to-score outcomes, all resolving on official final scores within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time), identical primary source (Lega Serie A official statistics), and identical edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, incomplete match). No material divergence detected.
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie A official statistics (legaseriea.it); secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match end
Core resolution logic:
All markets resolve on the final score at the conclusion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded from all market resolutions
Kalshi markets resolve Yes/No based on goal-differential thresholds: Cremonese >1.5 goals, Parma >2.5 goals, Parma >1.5 goals, or Cremonese >2.5 goals
Polymarket Over/Under markets resolve based on combined total goals: O/U 1.5 (2+ goals), O/U 2.5 (3+ goals), O/U 3.5 (4+ goals), O/U 4.5 (5+ goals)
Polymarket spread markets resolve on goal differential: Parma -2.5 (Parma wins by 3+), Parma -1.5 (Parma wins by 2+), Cremonese -2.5 (Cremonese wins by 3+), Cremonese -1.5 (Cremonese wins by 2+)
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if both teams score at least one goal; No if either team scores zero
If match is postponed, markets remain open until completion
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, markets resolve 50-50
If match is started but not completed, resolution uses the official final score at time of stoppage
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date
Cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes)
Incomplete match: Resolution uses the official final score published by Lega Serie A at the time the match was stopped, not a projected or estimated final score
Delayed official statistics: If Lega Serie A does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead
Extra time or penalties: Explicitly excluded from all market resolutions; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon publication of the official final score by Lega Serie A, typically within 2 hours of match conclusion. Markets reference only the 90-minute regular play period plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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