TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese
polymarket
kalshi

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese

Volume:
$1,082,184

US Cremonese

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

US Cremonese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cremonese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84,940
N/A
N/A
$55,653
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Parma Calcio 1913

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$528,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Parma Calcio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152,919
N/A
N/A
$107,108
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,233
N/A
N/A
$45,452
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Parma Calcio 1913 and US Cremonese.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Parma win, Tie, Cremonese win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them or produce a single definitive settlement. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets (one per outcome) with coherent resolution logic, while Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES regardless of the actual match result.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group. The resolution rules guarantee that all three Kalshi markets will resolve YES simultaneously, regardless of the actual match outcome on March 21, 2026. This violates basic prediction market logic and creates unresolvable ambiguity. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Parma win, Cremonese win, Draw) are the only coherent settlement mechanism in this group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Uses three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match outcome (Parma win, Cremonese win, or Draw). Each market has clear YES/NO logic tied to a single outcome. Primary source is official Lega Serie A statistics, with fallback to credible reporting if not published within 2 hours. Quote: 'If US Cremonese wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Defines three markets where each resolves YES if ANY of the three possible outcomes occurs (Parma win, Tie, or Cremonese win). This means all three Kalshi markets will always resolve YES simultaneously, regardless of the actual result. Quote: 'If Parma Calcio wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Cremonese wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where no market can ever resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.