TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese
Volume:
$1,082,184
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Parma Calcio 1913 and US Cremonese.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Parma win, Tie, Cremonese win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them or produce a single definitive settlement. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets (one per outcome) with coherent resolution logic, while Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES regardless of the actual match result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group. The resolution rules guarantee that all three Kalshi markets will resolve YES simultaneously, regardless of the actual match outcome on March 21, 2026. This violates basic prediction market logic and creates unresolvable ambiguity. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Parma win, Cremonese win, Draw) are the only coherent settlement mechanism in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Uses three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match outcome (Parma win, Cremonese win, or Draw). Each market has clear YES/NO logic tied to a single outcome. Primary source is official Lega Serie A statistics, with fallback to credible reporting if not published within 2 hours. Quote: 'If US Cremonese wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Defines three markets where each resolves YES if ANY of the three possible outcomes occurs (Parma win, Tie, or Cremonese win). This means all three Kalshi markets will always resolve YES simultaneously, regardless of the actual result. Quote: 'If Parma Calcio wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Cremonese wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where no market can ever resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.