Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 12, 2026, using the same primary source (official Serie A statistics or credible reporting consensus).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Lega Serie A statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus
Core resolution logic:
The match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Parma Calcio 1913 wins, SSC Napoli wins, or the match ends in a draw.
Exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES (Polymarket) while the win markets resolve NO (both platforms).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market (Polymarket) resolves YES, while both win markets (Parma and Napoli) resolve NO on both platforms.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official Lega Serie A statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution defaults to consensus of credible reporting.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by Lega Serie A or, if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, upon establishment of credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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