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405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC
polymarket
kalshi

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC

Volume:
$2,853,986

Paris Saint-Germain FC

 - Polymarket

Paris Saint-Germain FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 2:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Paris Saint-Germain FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,357,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

PSG wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56,280
N/A
N/A
$46,385
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toulouse FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$308,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

PSG wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,473
N/A
N/A
$20,954
Settled
No
kalshi

Toulouse wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,647
N/A
N/A
$1,946
Settled
No
kalshi

Toulouse wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$583
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Paris Saint-Germain FC faces Toulouse FC in a Ligue 1 match scheduled for April 3, 2026. This event group captures three outcome dimensions: PSG victory, Toulouse victory, and draw, along with goal-margin thresholds. All markets reference the same 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time, with official Ligue 1 statistics as the primary resolution source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three binary markets (PSG win, Toulouse win, draw) that collectively cover all possible match outcomes, while Kalshi offers four spread-based markets (PSG >2.5 goals, PSG >1.5 goals, Toulouse >1.5 goals, Toulouse >2.5 goals) that focus on margin of victory. The platforms use fundamentally different market structures and resolution thresholds.Hero tip: If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on the match winner (or draw); if you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on the margin of victory. A PSG 2-0 win resolves YES on Polymarket's PSG market but NO on Kalshi's PSG >2.5 goals market. Ensure your position matches your intended outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses three mutually exclusive binary markets (PSG win, Toulouse win, draw) that collectively resolve to exactly one YES outcome per match. Each market asks 'Will [Team] win?' or 'Will the match end in a draw?' with resolution based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is official Ligue 1 statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi uses four independent spread-based markets that each resolve YES if a specific goal-margin threshold is met (PSG >2.5 goals, PSG >1.5 goals, Toulouse >1.5 goals, Toulouse >2.5 goals). Multiple Kalshi markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., if PSG wins 3-0, both PSG >2.5 and PSG >1.5 resolve YES). Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.