TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 5:29 PM EST
Kalshi
Paris Gentle Mates and Vancouver Surge compete in the second map of their Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers match on June 14, 2026. The team that wins this individual map advances their map count in the series.
Resolution is determined by which team wins map 2 of the Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers 2026 match between Paris Gentle Mates and Vancouver Surge, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM EDT.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who stake real money on outcomes they believe will occur. Traders continuously adjust odds based on new information, team form, roster changes, and community sentiment. This market's odds may move faster or differently than traditional sportsbooks, especially as match day approaches and fresh data emerges about player availability or strategic adjustments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of all active traders; as new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. Traders profit by correctly predicting the map result, which incentivizes accurate pricing. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the spread between bid and ask prices narrows or widens based on trading volume and conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once the map 2 result is finalized and verifiable from credible public reporting of the esports match. The outcome is determined by which team wins the map according to the official match broadcast and scoring. Until that point, you can trade your position freely. Resolution occurs automatically after the match concludes and the result is confirmed, at which time payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Roster announcements or player substitutions affecting either team's map 2 composition would likely trigger repricing. Recent scrim results, patch changes to the game, or tactical adjustments revealed in team interviews can influence trader conviction. Head-to-head map history and performance trends on this specific map also matter; traders monitor win rates and map bans. Injury news, visa delays, or other logistical issues affecting team preparation could move the market. As match day nears, pre-game analysis and expert commentary often drive final price adjustments.