TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC is a Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for March 22, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET. The event group comprises multiple spread markets (ranging from ±1.5 to ±2.5 goal differentials), over/under total goals markets (1.5 through 4.5 combined goals), and a both-teams-to-score market. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures to cover the same underlying event. Polymarket offers spread markets (Paris FC -1.5/-2.5, Le Havre AC -1.5/-2.5) and total goals markets (O/U 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5), while Kalshi offers four separate binary markets each tied to a specific margin threshold. Both platforms resolve on the same official source (ligue1.com final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time), but the market design and outcome mapping differ fundamentally.Hero Tip:
If you trade these markets across platforms, note that Polymarket's spread markets and Kalshi's binary margin markets will produce identical outcomes for any given final score, but the bet structure is inverted: Polymarket's single spread market covers multiple outcomes, while Kalshi requires you to pick a specific margin threshold. Ensure your position sizing accounts for this structural difference. Both platforms will resolve identically on the official ligue1.com final score.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Aligned with Kalshi on resolution source and scope: resolves on official ligue1.com final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Polymarket uses spread markets (e.g., 'Paris FC (-1.5)' resolves YES if Paris wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO) and total goals markets (e.g., 'O/U 4.5' resolves Over if combined goals >= 5). Quote: 'This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligue1.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'Kalshi:
Aligned with Polymarket on resolution source and scope: resolves on official ligue1.com final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties). Kalshi uses four separate binary markets, each tied to a specific margin: 'Le Havre wins by >1.5 goals', 'Paris wins by >2.5 goals', 'Paris wins by >1.5 goals', 'Le Havre wins by >2.5 goals'. Quote: 'If Le Havre wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Le Havre at Paris professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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