TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between Paris Basketball and Sluc Nancy Basket. The result depends solely on which team wins the match as originally scheduled. Any postponement within 48 hours of the scheduled start time will not affect the market, which will instead resolve based on the final official result once the game is played.
The market resolves based on the winner of the men’s professional LNB Elite basketball game between Paris Basketball and Sluc Nancy Basket, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026, at 10:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official final result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of each team’s outcome, each having its own resolution condition based on victory. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This creates a constantly updating assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paris Basketball vs Nancy game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which team is declared the winner of the game, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding contracts. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected performance in prior games, shifts in public sentiment, or even weather conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into the evolving probabilities of each outcome.