TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris Basketball vs. Partizan
Volume:
$120,266
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional Euroleague basketball game between Paris Basketball and KK Partizan Belgrade scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: both outcomes (Paris Basketball wins OR Partizan wins) resolve to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where exactly one team wins and the market resolves to that team's name, with explicit handling for postponement and cancellation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market — it contains a fatal logical flaw that makes it impossible to determine when the market should resolve NO. Polymarket's market is tradeable and follows standard sports betting logic. If you hold Kalshi YES, clarify with the platform whether this is a data entry error or intentional design before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Both possible game outcomes (Paris Basketball wins OR Partizan wins) are specified to resolve to YES, creating a logical contradiction where NO resolution is impossible. The market rules state 'If Paris Basketball wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and separately 'If KK Partizan Belgrade wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' with no condition specified for NO resolution.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary sports settlement: The market resolves to the name of the winning team ('Paris Basketball' or 'Partizan'), with explicit edge-case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). This is mutually exclusive and exhaustive logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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