TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Paranaense vs Mirassol
kalshi

Paranaense vs Mirassol

Volume:
$252,221

Paranaense

 - Kalshi

Paranaense - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 5:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Paranaense

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$140,915
N/A
N/A
$81,286
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,093
N/A
N/A
$27,295
Settled
No
kalshi

Mirassol

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,213
N/A
N/A
$32,854
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Mirassol will defeat Paranaense in their Brasileiro Serie A matchup. On Kalshi, Mirassol victory is priced at 52.0%, while a Paranaense win stands at 26.0%. The resolution source is the official result of the professional soccer game scheduled for May 30, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Watch the teams' form and lineup announcements leading up to the May 30, 2026 kickoff to gauge shifting match dynamics.

Frequently asked questions

The Paranaense vs Mirassol dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this matchup. You can monitor the current implied probability that Paranaense wins, view the price history as traders update their positions, and observe 24-hour trading volume to gauge market interest and liquidity. The dashboard displays the latest odds alongside historical price movements, helping you understand how market sentiment has shifted. With total group volume of $252,221 and recent 24-hour volume of $245,931, this market reflects active trader participation and provides a snapshot of crowd expectations for the outcome.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For Paranaense vs Mirassol, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident in a Paranaense victory than professional oddsmakers. These differences highlight how decentralized markets and traditional betting venues price uncertainty differently, offering traders alternative perspectives on match outcomes.

The Paranaense vs Mirassol market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final result of the match between the two teams. Once the match concludes and the outcome is confirmed, the market settles according to the predetermined criteria tied to that result. Traders holding positions on the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The exact timing of settlement may depend on official confirmation of the result, ensuring accuracy before funds are distributed.

Several factors could shift Paranaense vs Mirassol odds before the match. Team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes can significantly alter market expectations. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage assessments may prompt trader repositioning. Weather conditions or venue-specific factors closer to match day could influence confidence in either team. Betting syndicates or sharp traders entering the market with large positions may also move prices. Additionally, any official announcements regarding team roster changes or tactical shifts could trigger volatility as traders reassess their probability estimates and adjust their positions accordingly.