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Paraguay vs. France - More Markets
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Paraguay vs. France?

Volume:
$52,187,885

O/U 0.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,965,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 0.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$153,571
$91,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

France O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$137,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

France O/U 0.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$143,453
$1,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France 2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,075,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

France (-1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,195
$467,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Team to Advance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,754,525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Team to Advance

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,468
$779,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,833,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,076
$319,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,812,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 1.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,604
$357,208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,547,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,419
$142,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

France (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,869,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

France (-2.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$980
$69,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,295,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,192,928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Both Teams to Score

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,432
$164,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

France (-3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$824,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

France (-3.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$249
$17,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$639,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

France O/U 1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$607,282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 74

Intro

This market group tracks the outcome of a FIFA World Cup match between Paraguay and France, including goal totals, spreads, and various match-specific betting lines. The consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict shows 100.0% for the Over/Under 0.5 goals market. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA.com final match statistics, with credible reporting consensus serving as backup if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the final whistle on July 4 at 5:00 PM ET to see how the match unfolds against market expectations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict platforms apply identical resolution logic: official fifa.com final scores for 90-minute regulation plus stoppage time, with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus, 50-50 resolution for full cancellations, and no post-resolution score revisions.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA.com final match statistics; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • All markets resolve based on the official final score published on fifa.com for the match between Paraguay and France on July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.
  • Resolution window is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from full-match markets (except Team to Advance and Penalty Shootout markets).
  • Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: France (-1.5) requires France win by 2+ goals; France (-2.5) requires 3+ goals; France (-3.5) requires 4+ goals; France (-4.5) requires 5+ goals; France (-5.5) requires 6+ goals. Paraguay spreads mirror these thresholds.
  • Over/Under markets resolve on combined team goals: O/U 0.5 requires 1+ combined goals; O/U 1.5 requires 2+ goals; O/U 2.5 requires 3+ goals; continuing through O/U 8.5 (9+ goals).
  • Individual team goal markets (Paraguay O/U, France O/U) count only that team's goals toward the threshold.
  • Half-time and second-half markets count only goals scored in their respective periods; first-half markets exclude second-half goals and vice versa.
  • Both Teams to Score markets resolve Yes only if both teams score at least one goal in the specified period (full match, first half, or second half); otherwise resolve No.
  • Team to Advance market resolves based on official advancement declaration by FIFA, including advancement after regulation, extra time, penalty shootout, or official ruling (forfeit, abandonment, disqualification).
  • Will the Match Go to Extra Time resolves Yes if play begins in any period after 90 regulation minutes plus stoppage time; resolves 50-50 if match ends in draw before extra time.
  • Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout resolves Yes if match concludes in a draw after extra time plus stoppage time; resolves 50-50 if match is abandoned before penalty shootout is reached.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed. No early resolution occurs.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (except Team to Advance, which resolves 50-50 if no team advances).
  • Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed, markets resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com at the time of abandonment or official conclusion.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If FIFA does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
  • Post-Resolution Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining outcomes; markets settle based on the score as officially declared at resolution time.
Timing: Markets resolve upon official publication of final match statistics on fifa.com, or within 2 hours after match conclusion if official statistics are delayed. Team to Advance and Penalty Shootout markets may resolve up to 24 hours after match conclusion pending official FIFA declaration.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.

Predict

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

The Paraguay vs. France match market aggregates prediction data across Polymarket and Predict, letting traders monitor real-time consensus on multiple outcome types. Polymarket currently features a spread-based contract, while Predict tracks total goals, offering complementary views of the same fixture. By tracking both platforms side by side, you can spot pricing gaps and gauge where the broader prediction community leans. This cross-platform dashboard consolidates liquidity signals and implied probabilities, helping you identify arbitrage opportunities or validate your own thesis before the match kicks off.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price the same event through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust for sharp action and liability. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs in real time—prices move continuously as new information arrives and participants buy or sell contracts. This market often reflects faster reaction to team news, injury updates, or betting syndicates than slower-moving sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal mispricings, though sportsbooks typically maintain tighter margins and deeper liquidity for major fixtures.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence pricing. Polymarket may see heavier volume on spread contracts, while Predict draws interest in over-under totals, causing each to reflect distinct supply-and-demand dynamics. Timing lags between platforms, varying settlement rule interpretations, and regional trader preferences can also widen gaps. Arbitrageurs typically exploit these differences, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal friction, platform-specific incentives, and the cost of moving capital between venues.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, lineup changes, or managerial decisions—typically drives sharp repricing in the days before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and travel fatigue can also shift trader sentiment. Closer to match time, weather conditions, last-minute roster adjustments, and betting syndicate positioning often trigger volatility. Early goals or red cards during the match itself will cause rapid repricing on live-trading platforms. Monitor official team announcements and credible sports media for catalysts that might signal value shifts across both venues.