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Paraguay vs France: Goalscorer
kalshi

Who will score in Paraguay vs France?

Volume:
$12,993,704

Kylian Mbappe: 1+

 - Kalshi

Kylian Mbappe: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 7:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kylian Mbappe: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,796,695
N/A
N/A
$3,372,590
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aurelien Tchouameni: 1+

View
8%
Yes 8¢No 92¢
100¢
N/A
$56,263
N/A
N/A
$44,955
Settled
No
kalshi

Kylian Mbappe: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,922,998
N/A
N/A
$2,006,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Ousmane Dembele: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,229,936
N/A
N/A
$1,015,979
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Olise: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$789,301
N/A
N/A
$637,642
Settled
No
kalshi

Kylian Mbappe: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$589,287
N/A
N/A
$503,448
Settled
No
kalshi

Julio Enciso: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$456,822
N/A
N/A
$444,336
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Olise: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$400,448
N/A
N/A
$392,431
Settled
No
kalshi

Ousmane Dembele: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$359,003
N/A
N/A
$338,766
Settled
No
kalshi

Miguel Almiron: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$296,566
N/A
N/A
$279,738
Settled
No
kalshi

Desire Doue: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$216,204
N/A
N/A
$138,749
Settled
No
kalshi

Andres Cubas: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158,832
N/A
N/A
$153,145
Settled
No
kalshi

Ousmane Dembele: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105,245
N/A
N/A
$104,074
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Olise: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$98,242
N/A
N/A
$98,242
Settled
No
kalshi

Bradley Barcola: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,293
N/A
N/A
$70,960
Settled
No
kalshi

Julio Enciso: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77,702
N/A
N/A
$77,145
Settled
No
kalshi

Jules Kounde: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,588
N/A
N/A
$57,841
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrien Rabiot: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,189
N/A
N/A
$33,916
Settled
No
kalshi

Matias Galarza: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,549
N/A
N/A
$33,356
Settled
No
kalshi

Manu Kone: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,019
N/A
N/A
$25,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Diego Gomez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,959
N/A
N/A
$19,558
Settled
No
kalshi

Gustavo Velazquez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,628
N/A
N/A
$21,605
Settled
No
kalshi

Dayot Upamecano: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,619
N/A
N/A
$18,307
Settled
No
kalshi

Bradley Barcola: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,443
N/A
N/A
$16,979
Settled
No
kalshi

Gustavo Gomez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,775
N/A
N/A
$14,103
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Intro

This market tracks whether Kylian Mbappe will score at least one goal during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Mbappe scoring 1+ goals—stands at 53.0%, while Ousmane Dembele scoring 1+ goals is at 28.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA World Cup records for the full match including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra periods. Watch for the match kickoff on July 4, 2026, as the outcome will be settled based on goals recorded during that entire game window.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates a designated player's goal-scoring performance during the full Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 4, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Markets are structured around specific goal thresholds for each player—some tracking single goals, others tracking multiple goals (2 or 3+). A market resolves to Yes if the specified player achieves or exceeds the designated goal threshold during the match. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles to the last fair market price established before the match begins. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined solely by the actual number of goals that player scores. Goals scored at any point during the match—whether in regulation, stoppage time, or extra time—count toward the player's total for settlement purposes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Paraguay vs France goalscorer market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for individual player goal predictions in this matchup. The interface displays current probabilities for each listed scorer outcome, along with 24-hour trading volume and historical price data. Traders use this dashboard to monitor how sentiment shifts as match details emerge, team news breaks, or betting patterns evolve. The short_topic aggregates all goalscorer contracts into one searchable view, letting you compare odds across different players and identify which scorers the market favors most heavily.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets price outcomes based on collective belief. This market may show different probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as match day approaches and new information surfaces. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs. Prediction markets tend to be more responsive to breaking news, injuries, or lineup changes than slower-moving sportsbook odds.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each potential goalscorer outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades independently, so odds for different players can shift at different speeds based on demand. The platform displays the best bid and ask for every outcome, and prices converge toward consensus as more traders participate. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the spreads are and how quickly prices respond to new information about team lineups or player form.

This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Paraguay vs France match concludes and the goalscorer outcome is verified against credible public reporting. The winning contract is determined by which player, if any, scores during the match. Outcomes are confirmed through official match records and widely recognized sports data sources. Early resolution may occur if a player is ruled ineligible before kickoff or if the match is postponed indefinitely. Traders should monitor team news and official announcements leading up to the event to stay informed of any changes that could affect settlement.

Key catalysts include official team lineups released before kickoff, injury announcements affecting star forwards, and betting-market activity from sharp traders. Historical performance data, head-to-head records, and recent form updates can shift probabilities for individual scorers. Weather conditions, venue details, and tactical previews from credible analysts often trigger repricing. As match day approaches, late-breaking news—such as a player's suspension or a surprise starting XI—typically causes sharp price swings. Live trading activity from informed bettors can also signal shifting confidence in particular outcomes, creating opportunities for contrarian traders.