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Paraguay vs France: Assists
kalshi

Will Paraguay or France players record assists on July 4, 2026?

Volume:
$886,230

Aurelien Tchouameni: 1+

 - Kalshi

Aurelien Tchouameni: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 9:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aurelien Tchouameni: 1+

View
12%
Yes 12¢No 88¢
100¢
N/A
$12,637
N/A
N/A
$11,923
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Olise: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$408,537
N/A
N/A
$357,241
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Olise: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$164,430
N/A
N/A
$151,298
Settled
No
kalshi

Kylian Mbappe: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71,930
N/A
N/A
$68,525
Settled
No
kalshi

Kylian Mbappe: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,192
N/A
N/A
$61,855
Settled
No
kalshi

Ousmane Dembele: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,255
N/A
N/A
$51,285
Settled
No
kalshi

Ousmane Dembele: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,452
N/A
N/A
$41,747
Settled
No
kalshi

Miguel Almiron: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,527
N/A
N/A
$9,939
Settled
No
kalshi

Jules Kounde: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,875
N/A
N/A
$8,487
Settled
No
kalshi

Desire Doue: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,491
N/A
N/A
$5,345
Settled
No
kalshi

Julio Enciso: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,712
N/A
N/A
$5,392
Settled
No
kalshi

Bradley Barcola: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,057
N/A
N/A
$3,718
Settled
No
kalshi

Diego Gomez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,453
N/A
N/A
$3,453
Settled
No
kalshi

Matias Galarza: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,484
N/A
N/A
$2,484
Settled
No
kalshi

Andres Cubas: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,382
N/A
N/A
$2,354
Settled
No
kalshi

Bradley Barcola: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,003
N/A
N/A
$2,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Jules Kounde: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,950
N/A
N/A
$1,950
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrien Rabiot: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,456
N/A
N/A
$1,356
Settled
No
kalshi

Desire Doue: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,271
N/A
N/A
$1,270
Settled
No
kalshi

Manu Kone: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$989
N/A
N/A
$953
Settled
No
kalshi

Dayot Upamecano: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
No
kalshi

Omar Alderete: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrien Rabiot: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$649
N/A
N/A
$649
Settled
No
kalshi

Manu Kone: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
No
kalshi

William Saliba: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
$246
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether Miguel Almiron records at least one assist during the Paraguay versus France FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the probability that Almiron achieves 1+ assists stands at 75.0%, according to resolution criteria tied to the official game outcome including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra periods. The market resolves based on the final result of the match scheduled for July 4, 2026, with settlement occurring the following day on July 5, 2026.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on the assist performance of a designated player during the entire Paraguay vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game scheduled for July 4, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Players tracked include Andres Cubas, Julio Enciso, and Miguel Almiron from Paraguay, and Aurelien Tchouameni, Desire Doue, Jules Kounde, Kylian Mbappe, Michael Olise, and Ousmane Dembele from France. For each player, markets are established for both 1+ assists and 2+ assists thresholds where applicable. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, the market settles based on the actual number of assists recorded by that player throughout the match.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Paraguay vs France assists market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this prediction market. The interface displays current market sentiment around the total number of assists expected during the match, along with 24-hour trading volume and liquidity depth. Traders use this data to monitor how odds shift as match kickoff approaches, team news emerges, or injury reports surface. The dashboard provides a transparent view of how the market is pricing assist outcomes, helping participants make informed decisions about their positions in the Paraguay vs France assists market.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders competing to profit on their forecasts. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information more fluidly, adjusting rapidly to breaking news or lineup changes. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where traders and bookmakers disagree on assist outcomes, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts as the match date approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different assist outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the collective belief of market participants about which outcome will occur, with each contract's value ranging between zero and one dollar. As new information emerges—such as team lineups, player availability, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the price to move. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to real-world developments leading up to the match.

This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Paraguay vs France match concludes and the final assist count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official assist statistics recorded for the match, confirmed through established sports data providers and match records. Resolution occurs after the event is complete and the data is finalized, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning positions.

Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before Jul 5, 2026. Team lineup announcements and injury reports for key playmakers will influence assist expectations, as will recent form and head-to-head assist trends. Pre-match analysis from credible sports commentators and tactical breakdowns can sway trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking roster changes will also drive repricing. Additionally, early match momentum—if live betting data becomes available—could signal how the assist narrative is unfolding, prompting traders to adjust positions ahead of final resolution.