TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Paraguay vs. France
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Paraguay vs. France?

Volume:
$26,884,952

France

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

France

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,690,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FRA

View
N/A
N/A
—
$428,895
$2,063,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Paraguay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,130,536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

PAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
$19,092
$534,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Paraguay vs. France)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,563,507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
—
$16,864
$902,520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the FIFA World Cup 2026 match between Paraguay and France scheduled for July 4, 2026. Aggregated across Polymarket and Predict, France is favored to win at 91.5%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics as recognized by the governing body and event organizers, with credible reporting serving as a secondary source if official data is unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion. Watch for the final whistle on July 4, 2026, which will trigger the resolution window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict platforms employ identical resolution logic, edge case handling, and primary source hierarchy for all three outcome markets (France win, Paraguay win, draw).Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA statistics as recognized by the governing body and event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting may be used as secondary source.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined by official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • France win market resolves Yes if France scores more goals than Paraguay; otherwise No
  • Paraguay win market resolves Yes if Paraguay scores more goals than France; otherwise No
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; otherwise No
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, France and Paraguay win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not retroactively applied

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a new date
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, France win and Paraguay win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes
  • Delayed official statistics: If FIFA does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used for resolution
  • Post-resolution score revisions: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be retroactively applied to change the outcome
  • Scope limitation: Markets refer only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official final statistics are published by FIFA or, if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, after credible reporting consensus is established. Markets remain open if the match is postponed until completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, July 4, 2026 between Paraguay and France.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, July 4, 2026 between Paraguay and France.

Frequently asked questions

PredictionHero aggregates prediction market prices for the Paraguay vs. France match across Polymarket and Predict, letting you monitor consensus odds in real time. The dashboard displays the latest implied probability for each outcome, along with trading volume and price history. By tracking this market across multiple platforms simultaneously, you can spot pricing divergences and identify where the crowd leans strongest. This cross-platform view reveals whether traders on one venue are more bullish or bearish than another, helping you make more informed decisions.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect real-time trader consensus without a built-in house edge. This market often shows tighter spreads and faster price adjustments to breaking news than sportsbooks, since traders profit directly from accurate predictions. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional input and tighter risk management. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand where smart money is positioned.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome due to variations in liquidity, user base composition, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Traders on one platform may have different information access, risk tolerance, or time horizons, causing prices to diverge temporarily. Polymarket typically attracts larger volumes and faster price discovery, while smaller venues may lag or reflect niche trader sentiment. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities and highlight how decentralized prediction markets remain less perfectly efficient than centralized exchanges.

Key injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and recent team form will drive significant price swings leading up to kickoff. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often move the market hours before the match as new information surfaces. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and head-to-head historical trends can also shift trader positioning. Social media sentiment and mainstream sports coverage may amplify retail trader activity. Watch for late-breaking team news and any unexpected roster changes, as these catalysts typically trigger the largest price moves in the final hours before the match begins.