TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and Australia, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paraguay" if Paraguay score more goals than Australia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Paraguay and Australia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Australia" if Australia score more goals than Paraguay in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and Australia, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paraguay" if Paraguay score more goals than Australia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Paraguay and Australia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Australia" if Australia score more goals than Paraguay in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, the Paraguay vs. Australia second-half outcome is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as volume flows in, with larger trades causing sharper shifts than smaller ones. The current market price reflects the marginal trader's belief about which team will win the second half, and that price serves as the best available estimate of the event's likelihood given all available information at that moment.
The market resolves on Jun 26, 2026, after the second half of the Paraguay vs. Australia match concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final score recorded by the match referee and governing soccer authority. The second-half result outcome is established once the full-time whistle sounds and the official scoreline is confirmed, at which point traders receive payouts based on which outcome occurred and their position in the market.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements before kickoff, first-half scoreline and momentum shifts, tactical substitutions at halftime, and red or yellow card accumulation affecting player availability. Weather conditions, crowd energy, and referee decisions also influence second-half dynamics. Real-time match events—goals, near-misses, or defensive breakdowns—will trigger immediate repricing as traders update their conviction. Pre-match analysis from analysts and expert commentary may also move odds as new strategic insights surface.