TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 8:20 PM EST
Kalshi
A player from one national team will score a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
Goals are counted during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time, but not during penalty shootouts. If a player does not appear in any match during the tournament, their market resolves to No. Players must participate in at least one game for their market to have a chance of resolving Yes based on goal-scoring performance.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and decentralized price discovery rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets update continuously as traders buy and sell contracts. For Paraguay goalscorer markets, prediction odds may price in late-breaking team news, lineup changes, or injury updates faster than sportsbooks. Comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value relative to professional oddsmakers.
Paraguay: Goalscorers contracts on Kalshi are priced as binary yes/no outcomes for each eligible player, with prices ranging from $0 to $1 and reflecting the implied probability of that player scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe a player is undervalued and sell at higher prices if they see overvaluation. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell interest, and the last traded price becomes the market price. Volume and bid-ask spreads vary by player popularity and match proximity, affecting how quickly prices adjust to new information.
The Paraguay: Goalscorers market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by official match records and goal-scoring data from the relevant Paraguay fixtures covered by this event. Each individual player contract settles based on whether that player is credited with scoring during their designated match window. Outcomes are finalized once official sources confirm all goal scorers and no further appeals or corrections are pending.
Key catalysts for Paraguay: Goalscorers odds include team lineup announcements, player injuries or suspensions, recent form and goal-scoring streaks, and opponent defensive strength. Confirmed starting lineups typically trigger sharp price moves as traders adjust for confirmed availability. Injury news to star forwards or key playmakers can shift odds significantly. Pre-match analysis, weather conditions affecting play style, and head-to-head matchup dynamics also influence scorer probabilities. Late-breaking tactical changes or surprise squad rotations in the hours before kickoff often create final volatility in contract prices.