TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 4:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between PAOK WF and MA Hapoel Jerusalem, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "PAOK WF" if PAOK WF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "MA Hapoel Jerusalem" if MA Hapoel Jerusalem are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between PAOK WF and MA Hapoel Jerusalem, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "PAOK WF" if PAOK WF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "MA Hapoel Jerusalem" if MA Hapoel Jerusalem are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from traders betting real money on outcomes they believe will occur. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have direct financial exposure to the result. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs, though prediction markets typically reflect longer-term conviction while sportsbooks adjust more frequently for liability management.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of liquidity allocated to it; as traders buy shares for one team to score first, the price for that outcome rises and the competing outcome falls. This continuous pricing model ensures that odds adjust in real time based on trading flow and new information. Traders profit by identifying mispriced outcomes relative to their own probability estimates.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is officially recorded. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation play. Resolution is verified against credible public sources, including official match records and reputable sports data providers. Once the result is confirmed, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who backed the correct team. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window.
Team news significantly impacts this market, including injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts that affect attacking capability. Recent form and head-to-head scoring patterns influence trader positioning, as do historical data on each team's opening-goal frequency. Weather conditions and venue factors can shift expectations around pace and early pressure. Pre-match commentary from analysts and expert predictions often trigger repricing as new information enters the market. Closer to kickoff, team sheets and confirmed lineups typically drive final adjustments as uncertainty resolves.