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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Aris Thessaloniki
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Aris Thessaloniki?

Volume:
$94,555

PAOK

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 4:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

PAOK

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,468
N/A
N/A
$28,989
Settled
Yes
polymarket

PAOK Thessaloniki

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,534
N/A
N/A
$11,817
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Aris Thessaloniki)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aris Thessaloniki

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,667
N/A
N/A
$8,389
Settled
No
polymarket

Aris Thessaloniki

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between PAOK Thessaloniki and Aris Thessaloniki scheduled for September 13, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution criteria: 90 minutes + stoppage time, official data priority, and fallback data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers (slgr.gr)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
  • Official match statistics are the primary source of truth.
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data is used, followed by Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Cancellation of the game with no reschedule results in a 'No' resolution for win markets and a 'Yes' resolution for the draw market on Polymarket, and a 'Tie' resolution for the draw market on Kalshi.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official data is available, whichever is later.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Greece Super League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between PAOK Thessaloniki and Aris Thessaloniki.

Kalshi

The event covers a Greece Super League soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, between PAOK and Aris Thessaloniki. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: PAOK win, Aris Thessaloniki win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve at a fair price according to defined procedures. The resolution depends solely on the full-time result as officially recorded, without regard to tournament advancement or other contextual factors.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the event. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets may incorporate information that sportsbooks haven't fully considered. However, both serve as indicators of perceived likelihood, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage.