TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Harry Kane
- Kalshi
Harry Kane - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 29, 2026
Closed: Jun 27, 6:43 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group covers player-level performance props for the Panama vs. England FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026. Markets track individual player statistics including goals, assists, shots, shots on target, and goalkeeper saves across the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three platforms (Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket) apply consistent logic: official FIFA statistics for the completed match, 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, no extra time, player inactivity resolves NO, and fallback to credible reporting if official data unavailable.Primary resolution logic: FIFA.com official match statistics and box score; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2-24 hours after match completion.Core resolution logic:
- Goals, assists, shots, shots on target, and saves are counted only if credited to the named player in official FIFA match statistics.
- Resolution window is first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded.
- Own goals do not count toward a player's goal total.
- If a player is listed as inactive or does not play in the match, all markets for that player resolve NO.
- Combined goals and assists are calculated by adding each goal or assist credited to the player; the sum must exceed the stated threshold (e.g., more than 0.5 for 1+, more than 1.5 for 2+).
- Match must be completed with an official result by August 27, 2026, 12:00 UTC (Limitless) or by standard match completion (Kalshi/Polymarket); if not, market resolves NO or 50-50.
- If official FIFA statistics are unavailable for 72 hours (Limitless) or 2 hours (Kalshi/Polymarket) after match completion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Player Substitution or Early Exit: If a player is substituted out or leaves the field early due to injury or red card, statistics accumulated up to that point count toward resolution. The player is not considered inactive unless they do not appear in the match at all.
- Postponement or Cancellation: If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed. If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket resolves 50-50; Limitless resolves NO; Kalshi behavior not explicitly stated but follows standard cancellation protocol.
- Official Statistics Unavailability: If FIFA.com statistics are not published within the specified window (2-72 hours depending on platform), resolution proceeds using consensus of credible reporting from established sports media outlets.
- Threshold Interpretation: Thresholds use 'more than' logic: 1+ means more than 0.5 (i.e., 1 or more), 2+ means more than 1.5 (i.e., 2 or more), 3+ means more than 2.5 (i.e., 3 or more), 4+ means more than 3.5 (i.e., 4 or more).
- Assist Attribution: Assists are counted only if officially credited by FIFA in the match statistics; no retroactive or alternative assist definitions are used.
Polymarket
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Panama and England, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records at least one goal or one assist during the entire Panama vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game on June 27, 2026, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Resolution is based on official match records. If a player is listed as active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by the player's actual goals and assists recorded during play.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Bukayo Saka scores at least one goal in the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026, 21:00 UTC, as recorded in the FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Own goals by Bukayo Saka do not count. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 27, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to “NO.” If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets operate on continuous trader-set pricing rather than fixed sportsbook lines. On these platforms, odds shift dynamically as new information emerges and traders adjust positions. Sportsbooks typically offer tighter spreads but less flexibility; prediction markets reward early insight and allow you to trade in and out before resolution. For player props specifically, prediction market prices often reflect sharper, more granular assessments because traders can isolate individual performance metrics without the house margin built into traditional betting.
Polymarket and Kalshi operate independent order books and user bases, so prices naturally diverge based on local supply and demand. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in liquidity, user demographics, fee structures, and settlement rules can all push odds apart. One platform may attract more bullish traders on a particular player outcome, while the other skews bearish. Arbitrage-minded traders exploit these gaps, but friction costs and platform-specific mechanics often keep spreads persistent rather than instantly unified.
Team news, injury reports, and lineup announcements typically trigger sharp price moves in player prop markets. Confirmation of starting lineups closer to kickoff will shift odds on players expected to see significant minutes. Pre-match betting patterns and sharp money flowing into specific outcomes can signal informed positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head performance data may also influence trader conviction. Real-time match events—early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments—will drive repricing throughout the fixture itself.
