TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 8:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the combined goal total scored by Panama and Croatia during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 23, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether the combined second-half goals will exceed various thresholds.
The market resolves based on the total goals scored by both teams combined during the second half only, measured across four progressive thresholds: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, and over 3.5 goals. Goals scored in the first half or during extra time do not count. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks from June 23, 2026, the market resolves to a fair price.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often incorporate information faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may publish pre-match predictions based on historical data and team form, this market aggregates live trader positioning and updates continuously as new developments emerge. Comparing the two can reveal where professional opinion diverges from market consensus—for instance, if analysts favor one outcome but traders are pricing it differently, that gap may signal either mispricing or information asymmetry worth investigating before the match begins.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different second-half total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders; higher prices indicate stronger consensus that an outcome will occur. As traders place bids and offers, the spread between buy and sell prices tightens or widens based on liquidity and conviction, allowing you to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the Panama vs Croatia match concludes and the second-half total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded for the second half of the fixture. Resolution occurs after the match is complete and the result is confirmed, at which point all positions settle based on whether the actual second-half total aligns with the predicted outcome.
Several factors can shift market pricing before kickoff and during the match. Pre-match catalysts include team news, confirmed lineups, injury updates, and weather conditions that affect playing style. Once the match begins, live scoring in the first half directly influences second-half expectations—a high-scoring first half may push traders to expect more goals later, while a defensive opening could lower expectations. Tactical adjustments, substitutions, and momentum swings during play all provide new information that traders incorporate into their pricing in real time.