TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Croatia
all
3 markets
Kalshi
Limitless
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 25, 2026
Closed: Jun 23, 8:54 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This event group tracks prediction markets on the FIFA World Cup match between Panama and Croatia scheduled for June 23, 2026. The aggregated consensus across Limitless, Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket shows Croatia Over 0.5 goals at 100.0%, reflecting near-unanimous market expectation. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records. Watch for the match kickoff on June 23, 2026, as the outcome window that will settle all linked markets.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Draw and cancellation resolution logic diverges across platforms. Predict resolves draw markets to YES on full cancellation, while Limitless and Kalshi treat cancellation differently (Limitless: YES for draw if no result; Kalshi: implicit NO). Outcome markets (Panama/Croatia wins) also show inconsistent cancellation handling.Hero tip: Before trading, confirm with Predict whether full match cancellation truly resolves draw markets to YES, or if this is a drafting error. For Limitless, note that the draw market conflates 'no official result' with 'draw outcome'—a postponed match with delayed result could trigger YES. Kalshi's silence on cancellation is ambiguous; assume NO unless clarified. Use official FIFA.com as tiebreaker for all platforms.Critical divergence points:
- Limitless: Draw market resolves YES if match ends in draw OR if no official result by July 23, 2026, 23:00 UTC. Win markets (Panama/Croatia) resolve NO if match not completed by deadline. Key quote: 'If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 23, 2026, 23:00 UTC, the market will resolve to NO.'
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Tie, Panama, Croatia) resolve YES only if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies NO resolution on cancellation or incomplete match.
- Predict: Win markets (Panama/Croatia) resolve NO if game canceled entirely with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if game canceled entirely with no make-up. Postponements keep markets open. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
- Polymarket: All markets (O/U, spreads, BTTS) resolve 50-50 if game canceled entirely with no make-up. Postponements keep markets open. Resolves per official FIFA.com final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.'
Polymarket
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 23 at 7:00 PM ET.
Kalshi
The match winner market resolves based on the final result of the Panama vs Croatia FIFA World Cup game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties) on June 23, 2026. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market is not endorsed by FIFA.
Predict
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, June 23, 2026 between Panama and Croatia.
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the club named in the title is winning after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties) in the match scheduled for the date shown in the title. If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 23, 2026, 23:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO."
Frequently asked questions
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, especially for star players or defensive anchors. Pre-match press conferences, recent form streaks, and head-to-head history can shift trader conviction. Weather conditions at kickoff, referee assignments, and late-breaking tactical shifts also influence odds. Additionally, correlated outcomes in other World Cup matches may ripple through Panama vs. Croatia pricing if qualification scenarios or bracket implications change. Monitor official team social media and sports news for real-time updates that could trigger sharp moves.