TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 23, 2026, where the outcome depends on which team leads by a significant margin at halftime.
The first half spread market evaluates the goal differential between Panama and Croatia during the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time of their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 23, 2026. Only goals scored during the first half count toward resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The market resolves to Yes if either Panama wins by more than 1.5 goals or Croatia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the first half.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money traders' collective expectations for the first-half spread, often diverging from traditional analyst forecasts and statistical models. While sports analysts may rely on historical team performance, player injuries, and tactical analysis, prediction markets incorporate live information and trader conviction through direct financial incentives. Comparing Kalshi odds to published expert predictions and pre-match analysis can reveal where the crowd disagrees with conventional wisdom, potentially highlighting value opportunities or consensus blind spots in first-half scoring expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Panama vs Croatia: First Half Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the first-half goal margin will fall within or outside a specified range. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As match conditions, team news, and betting patterns evolve, the contract price adjusts dynamically to reflect updated trader expectations about first-half scoring differential between the two teams.
The Panama vs Croatia: First Half Spread market resolves on Jun 24, 2026, following the completion of the first half of the match. Resolution is determined by the official goal differential recorded during the first 45 minutes of play. The specific spread threshold and outcome criteria are defined by the market terms at the time of trading, ensuring clarity on which team's first-half performance determines whether the contract settles to 100 cents or 0 cents.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the Panama vs Croatia: First Half Spread before match day. Team news—including player injuries, suspensions, or lineup announcements—can significantly alter scoring expectations. Weather conditions, venue details, and recent form updates may influence trader positioning. As the match approaches, betting patterns and sharp money flow often move prices. During the first half itself, early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments will drive rapid repricing as traders update their probability estimates based on live match events and emerging patterns.