TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 8:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Americas game, scheduled for July 5 at 8:10PM ET: If the Panama win, the market will resolve to "Panama". If the Argentina win, the market will resolve to "Argentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Americas game, scheduled for July 5 at 8:10PM ET: If the Panama win, the market will resolve to "Panama". If the Argentina win, the market will resolve to "Argentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets let traders directly stake capital on outcomes, creating prices driven by aggregated belief. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, depending on which venue's participants have fresher information or stronger conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares that represent each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract price reflects the collective assessment of all participants willing to trade at that moment. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts and traders execute at new levels. Your ability to enter or exit depends on available liquidity and the current market price, which updates continuously as trades occur throughout the prediction window.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as new developments, team news, or betting patterns influence participant expectations. Resolution is final once the event is settled and the platform confirms the winning side.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates, recent form and head-to-head records, and any shifts in public betting patterns. Media coverage and expert analysis can sway trader sentiment, while late-breaking tactical changes or weather conditions may trigger sharp repricing. Trading volume spikes often precede major moves, signaling that informed participants are adjusting positions. Monitor sports news and social sentiment closely, as prediction markets react quickly to information that affects perceived match likelihood.