TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers a soccer match between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo, focusing on the total number of goals scored during regular time. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds.
The event determines whether the total goals scored by both Palmeiras and Sao Paulo in their professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match, scheduled for September 12, 2026, exceed specified thresholds after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). If the aggregate goals surpass the respective threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the potential goal count. The volume of trading also influences price discovery, with higher volume generally indicating greater confidence in the current price.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Palmeiras or Sao Paulo would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected goal count. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, and even public sentiment could all play a role in shifting the odds. Unexpected lineup changes close to kickoff could also trigger a reaction in this market.