TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

Volume:
$68,554

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 7:35 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,543
N/A
N/A
$12,206
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,499
N/A
N/A
$16,481
Settled
No
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,869
N/A
N/A
$5,214
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,730
N/A
N/A
$4,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$601
Settled
No
kalshi

Palmeiras wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
$302
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event assesses the margin of victory in the Palmeiras versus Sao Paulo soccer match. Different markets evaluate whether Palmeiras wins by a certain number of goals or if Sao Paulo secures a decisive victory.

Kalshi

This event evaluates the goal differential in the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Two sets of markets exist: one set covers Palmeiras winning by more than 2.5 goals and more than 1.5 goals, while the other set covers Sao Paulo winning by more than 1.5 goals and more than 2.5 goals. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team's victory margin exceeds the stated threshold; otherwise, it resolves to No. As with all markets, Kalshi disclaims any official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $68,554, with $67,187 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely outcome of the spread in this soccer match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes outperform traditional odds in forecasting event outcomes. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo match, as determined by official results. It's important to note that the platform relies on publicly available data to verify the outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the event concludes and the data is verified.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable or a significant change in coaching strategy would likely cause movement. Major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public perception of team strengths could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is crucial for informed trading in this market.