TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 7:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international friendly soccer match between Palestine and New Zealand. The result is determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for Palestine, a win for New Zealand, or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Palestine vs New Zealand professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for September 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Palestine, a win for New Zealand, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform's rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, they can express that view by trading contracts here. This can lead to odds that diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a constantly updated forecast. Trading volume and order flow are key indicators of market movement.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Palestine vs New Zealand match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public perception of team performance could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring sports news and analyzing trading activity will be crucial for understanding potential market movements in the lead-up to the event.