This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Palermo FC and SS Juve Stabia scheduled for March 17, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Palermo win, Stabia win, draw) and Kalshi (three separate yes/no markets covering all possible outcomes). Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical match outcome criteria (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and the same primary resolution source (official Lega Serie B statistics), with only a minor divergence in how cancellation scenarios are labeled across market structures.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Lega Serie B match statistics (legaserieb.it); credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Resolution scope is the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Palermo FC win, SS Juve Stabia win, or draw
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (one per outcome); Kalshi offers three separate yes/no markets (one per outcome)
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the match result is treated as not occurring
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date. Resolution then occurs based on the actual match result.
Match Cancellation (No Make-up): If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket resolves win markets (Palermo, Stabia) to No and the draw market to Yes. Kalshi would resolve all three outcome markets to No since none of the three outcomes occurred.
Resolution Timing: Primary resolution uses official Lega Serie B statistics published within 2 hours after match conclusion. If official statistics are not available within 2 hours, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead.
Scope Clarity: Resolution is based solely on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts (if applicable in a cup competition) are explicitly excluded from resolution scope.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Lega Serie B statistics are published (target within 2 hours of match end). If the match is postponed, resolution is delayed until the rescheduled match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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