TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Palermo FC and Mantova 1911 scheduled for March 4, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Palermo win, draw, and Mantova win. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Lega Serie B statistics (legaserieb.it); credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours post-match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome resolves based on result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time, no penalties)
- Palermo win market resolves Yes if Palermo scores more goals; No otherwise
- Mantova win market resolves Yes if Mantova scores more goals; No otherwise
- Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; No otherwise
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: Palermo and Mantova win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is rescheduled and completed
- Cancellation without makeup: Palermo win and Mantova win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
- Source delay: If official Lega Serie B statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources
- Scope limitation: Resolution considers only the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after match completion (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official statistics publication or 2-hour credible reporting consensus windowOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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