TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Palermo FC and FC Südtirol (Bolzano) scheduled for February 21, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Palermo win, Südtirol win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon game cancellation with no make-up, while Kalshi's draw market implicitly resolves NO in the same scenario because no actual tied result can occur. This creates opposing payoff outcomes for the same real-world event.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any cancellation announcements closely. If the match is canceled with no reschedule, Polymarket draw backers win automatically, but Kalshi draw backers lose. Consider this asymmetry when sizing positions across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Palermo win, Südtirol win, draw). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. All outcomes reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Source: legaserieb.it.Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets (Tie, Südtirol win, Palermo win) that resolve YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard practice implies cancellation = NO resolution for all three markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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