TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 10:30 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Pakistan wins by 2 or more goals against Maldives during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 4, 2026, 11:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced according to the continuous order-book mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing Pakistan's chances of winning by 2 or more goals. The current price reflects the marginal trader's valuation and updates with every transaction. As match day approaches and more information becomes available—such as confirmed lineups, weather conditions, or recent form—the price adjusts to incorporate that data. Traders can enter and exit positions at any time before market close on Jun 5, 2026, allowing the price to continuously converge toward the true probability of the outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026 following the conclusion of the Pakistan vs Maldives match. Resolution is determined by the final official scoreline: if Pakistan wins by exactly 2 goals or more, the outcome resolves affirmatively; any other result (Pakistan win by 1, draw, or loss) resolves negatively. The resolution relies on official match records from the governing football authority. Once the final whistle sounds and the official score is confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury updates for both squads, particularly any absences of Pakistan's key attacking or defensive players. Recent form and head-to-head records may shift sentiment as match day approaches. Weather conditions in the stadium could favor one side's style of play. Tactical announcements or coaching changes could alter expectations of Pakistan's attacking intent. Pre-match media coverage, player statements, or betting syndicates entering the market can also move prices. Close to kickoff, any late-breaking news—such as a surprise lineup change or pitch condition updates—may trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess the probability of a 2-goal margin.