TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Paide Linnameeskond and FC Hegelmann, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paide Linnameeskond" if Paide Linnameeskond score more goals than FC Hegelmann in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Paide Linnameeskond and FC Hegelmann score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Hegelmann" if FC Hegelmann score more goals than Paide Linnameeskond in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Paide Linnameeskond and FC Hegelmann, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paide Linnameeskond" if Paide Linnameeskond score more goals than FC Hegelmann in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Paide Linnameeskond and FC Hegelmann score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Hegelmann" if FC Hegelmann score more goals than Paide Linnameeskond in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different market structures and participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money incentives. For this match's second half, sportsbook odds may emphasize historical team performance and injury reports, whereas prediction market participants incorporate live match dynamics and sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker mechanism where buying and selling shares directly influences the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1, representing the implied probability that traders assign to it. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others adjust downward. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains liquid and reflects the most current collective assessment of the second half's likely result.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match concludes and the second half result is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and result during the second half period only, independent of the first half. Resolution occurs after the match is officially completed and confirmed by reliable sports data sources, ensuring accuracy before traders receive their payouts based on the correct outcome.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements may alter perceived strength in the second half. Live match developments during the first half—including early goals, red cards, or momentum shifts—typically influence trader expectations for what follows. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, and recent form updates can also trigger repricing. Additionally, large trades or sudden capital inflows from informed traders may signal new information, prompting rapid adjustments across all outcomes.