TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first goal in an upcoming Europa League soccer match between Pafos FC and HNK Hajduk Split. The outcome depends solely on the timing of the first goal during the game, including any extra time, with specific rules for handling own goals. The event is part of a broader set of markets covering different possible scenarios for the match.
If Pafos FC records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Pafos FC vs HNK Hajduk Split professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If HNK Hajduk Split records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Pafos FC vs HNK Hajduk Split professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Pafos FC vs HNK Hajduk Split professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the current implied chance reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like public betting trends and house margins, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their outlook. This difference often leads to varying probabilities, as Kalshi prices evolve with real-time trader activity and new information. For example, if recent form suggests an upset, you might see sharper shifts here compared to more static sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to find the net during regulation time decides the result, and the platform will finalize the market based on official match records. No extra time or disputed calls affect the settlement, only the confirmed scorer in normal play.
Injuries to key attackers, tactical changes by coaches, or recent head-to-head performance can all sway trader sentiment before Jul 30, 2026. Weather conditions affecting playing style, disciplinary actions such as suspensions, and even early goal momentum during the match may cause rapid shifts in this market as new information emerges. Any development altering the perceived likelihood of either side scoring first can reshape the odds on Kalshi.