TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Pacific and Vancouver FC, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The contest is part of the Canadian Premier League, and the market evaluates whether either team secures a victory within regular time or if the game concludes in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Pacific vs Vancouver FC professional Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Pacific wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Pacific' market resolves to Yes. If Vancouver FC wins, the 'Vancouver FC' market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time, with no account for post-match deciding processes such as extra time or penalties.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer, providing a unique signal not found elsewhere.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and efficient forecast. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with buyers driving prices up and sellers driving them down.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Pacific vs Vancouver FC match, as officially recorded by the league. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the real-world result of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, coaching changes, or even public statements from key players could also impact trading activity. As the match date approaches, even minor updates can lead to substantial price movements, as traders react to the latest information and refine their forecasts.