TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Pacific and HFX compete in a Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for July 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
This event covers the Pacific vs HFX professional Canadian Premier League soccer game scheduled for July 5, 2026. Resolution is based on the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. Three separate markets resolve based on the final outcome: one for a Pacific victory, one for an HFX victory, and one for a tie. If the match ends in a draw after regulation and stoppage time, the Tie market resolves to Yes while the Pacific and HFX markets resolve to No. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price determined in accordance with established procedures.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader supply and demand. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial exposure to accuracy. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though both sources provide useful reference points for assessing the matchup's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order matching, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all active traders about the outcome, updated instantly as new trades execute. Kalshi's transparent order book lets you see depth at every price level, so you can understand exactly where liquidity sits. This mechanism ensures that prices adjust dynamically to new information, keeping the market efficient and responsive to shifting expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual result of the matchup as documented by authoritative sports sources. Until that date, traders can buy and sell positions freely, and the price will fluctuate based on evolving expectations. Once the event concludes and the outcome is finalized, the market will settle accordingly and trading will close.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before resolution. Roster changes, injuries to key players, or recent team performance trends often trigger sharp price moves. Weather conditions, venue factors, and head-to-head matchup history can all influence trader positioning. Breaking news about team dynamics, coaching decisions, or player availability typically generates immediate volatility. As game day approaches, late-breaking information and final injury reports often drive the largest swings. Monitoring sports news and team announcements will help you anticipate potential market movements.