This event group covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Oxford United FC and Blackburn Rovers FC scheduled for March 11, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Oxford United win, Blackburn Rovers win, and a draw result, all evaluated on the basis of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The draw market exhibits conflicting resolution logic in the event of complete game cancellation with no make-up fixture. Polymarket explicitly resolves to No; Kalshi's catch-all structure implies Yes.
Hero Tip:
Before March 11, 2026, confirm with both platforms how a full cancellation (no rescheduled match) triggers resolution. If you hold draw positions on both platforms, you face asymmetric payoff risk. Consider reducing exposure or requesting written clarification from each platform's support team.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Oxford win (Yes/No), Blackburn win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). All three markets remain open if postponed; draw market explicitly resolves No if canceled with no make-up. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets covering all possible results (Tie, Oxford, Blackburn). No explicit cancellation clause; catch-all structure implies all outcomes resolve Yes if their condition is met. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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