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Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs Milk Tea (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs Milk Tea (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage

Volume:
$7,260

Game 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 18, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Milk Tea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
$573
Settled
No
kalshi

Weibo Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$932
N/A
N/A
$922
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Overwatch best-of-three (BO3) match between Weibo Gaming and Milk Tea in the OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. Markets span the overall match winner, individual game winners (Game 1 and Game 2), and the total number of games played in the series.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a binary YES/NO resolution for match outcome (either team winning resolves YES), while Polymarket uses a ternary resolution (Weibo Gaming, Milk Tea, or 50-50 tie). Additionally, Polymarket includes granular Game 1/Game 2 winner markets and a Games Total O/U market that have no Kalshi counterparts, creating scope and settlement value differences.Hero tip: On Kalshi, any completed match result (Weibo or Milk Tea win) resolves YES; you cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. On Polymarket, you can bet on specific team winners or game-level outcomes. If you want directional exposure to a specific team, use Polymarket. Kalshi is only useful if you believe the match will be played and completed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary YES/NO structure: resolves YES if either Milk Tea or Weibo Gaming wins the match. No distinction between outcomes. Quote: 'If Milk Tea wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Weibo Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Ternary resolution with team-specific outcomes (Weibo Gaming, Milk Tea, or 50-50). Also includes three separate derivative markets (Game 1 Winner, Game 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5) with independent resolution logic. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Weibo Gaming if Weibo Gaming win the match...This market will resolve to Milk Tea if Milk Tea win the match...If the match is canceled...this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.