TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Overwatch: United States vs South Korea (BO5) - World Cup Playoffs
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of United States vs South Korea?

Volume:
$44,540

South Korea

 - Kalshi

South Korea - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 10:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

South Korea

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,392
N/A
N/A
$15,815
Settled
Yes
kalshi

United States

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,175
N/A
N/A
$17,335
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This group covers the Overwatch World Cup Playoffs match between the United States and South Korea. Multiple markets exist, including overall match winner, individual game winners, and the total number of games played in the best-of-five series. Resolution relies on official results from Liquipedia.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market is based on a future World Cup event, while Polymarket's markets are based on the Overwatch match outcome.Hero tip: Prioritize trading Polymarket markets as they directly reflect the Overwatch match result. Avoid Kalshi as it's based on an unrelated event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the winner of the Overwatch match (BO5). Includes rules for cancellations, forfeits, postponements, and incomplete matches. Resolution source is Liquipedia with a fallback to credible reporting. "This market will resolve to 'United States' if United States win the match against South Korea."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either the US or South Korea wins the 2026 World Cup. This is unrelated to the Overwatch match itself. "If South Korea wins the World Cup 2026: South Korea vs. United States Overwatch match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Overwatch Quarterfinal 3 match between United States and South Korea in the World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "United States" if United States win the match against South Korea. This market will resolve to "South Korea" if South Korea win the match against United States. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes only if the nation that wins the World Cup 2026 also participated in the South Korea vs. United States Overwatch match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026. All markets refer to the full match on that date. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. The current 24-hour volume on this market is $43,018, indicating active trading and evolving predictions.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player health, team strategies, or roster changes for either the United States or South Korea would likely cause price fluctuations. In-game performance during the series itself, such as dominant map wins or individual player highlights, will also be major catalysts. Unexpected announcements from the Overwatch League or tournament organizers could also influence trading activity. Shifts in overall market sentiment towards either team, driven by social media or expert analysis, could further move the odds.