TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Overwatch: Disguised vs Extinction (BO3) - OCS North America Stage 1 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Overwatch: Disguised vs Extinction (BO3) - OCS North America Stage 1 Group Stage

Volume:
$3,669

O/U 2.5 Games

 - Polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 29, 2026

Closed: Mar 29, 1:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,596
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Extinction

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,590
N/A
N/A
$1,262
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Disguised

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$358
N/A
N/A
$357
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three Overwatch match between Disguised and Extinction in the OCS North America Stage 1 Group Stage, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets track the overall match winner, individual game winners (Game 1 and Game 2), and total games played in the series.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No structure that resolves to Yes for either winner, creating scope ambiguity and no explicit edge-case handling. Polymarket provides explicit outcome resolution with comprehensive cancellation, tie, and delay protocols.Hero tip: Use Polymarket's resolution criteria as your primary guide. For Kalshi, assume that if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or ends in a tie, the market may not resolve as described. Cross-reference both platforms' official documentation before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure: resolves to Yes if either Extinction or Disguised wins. No explicit mention of cancellation, tie, or delay-beyond-7-days scenarios. Quote: 'If Extinction wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Disguised wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Explicit outcome resolution: resolves to Disguised if Disguised wins, Extinction if Extinction wins, and 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays >7 days, or pre-match forfeits. Mid-series forfeits count as valid wins. Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.