TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Overwatch: Dallas Fuel vs LuneX Gaming (BO3) - OCS North America Stage 1 Playoffs
Description
This event group covers the Overwatch Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Dallas Fuel and LuneX Gaming in the OCS North America Stage 1 Playoffs, scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Polymarket offers four related markets (match winner, Game 1 winner, Game 2 winner, and total games over/under 2.5), while Kalshi references a completely different match (Team Liquid vs. Spacestation Gaming). The group contains a critical platform mismatch that prevents unified resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi reference two completely different matches scheduled for the same date. Polymarket covers Dallas Fuel vs. LuneX Gaming; Kalshi covers Team Liquid vs. Spacestation Gaming. This is a data integrity failure that makes unified resolution impossible.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge or assume these markets are correlated. Verify the actual match roster and bracket position for each platform independently. If Kalshi's match is real and distinct, treat it as a separate event entirely. If Kalshi contains an error, escalate to platform support before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Four markets all track Dallas Fuel vs. LuneX Gaming (BO3 Upper Bracket Semifinal 1). Resolution source is Liquipedia with 2-hour credible reporting fallback. Match winner resolves 50-50 if canceled, tied, or delayed >7 days without completion. Completed forfeits/walkovers resolve to winning team; pre-match forfeits resolve 50-50. Game-specific markets resolve 50-50 if that game is not completed. Total games market counts forfeits toward series total if match is completed.
- Kalshi: Single market references Team Liquid vs. Spacestation Gaming match on Apr 10, 2026. Resolves Yes if either team wins. No tie, cancellation, or delay logic provided. No explicit resolution source cited. Team names do not match Polymarket's match participants.
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